0x632e8b1c26a6cdc73d18953bed6a8ccd2888c6b9
0x632e8b1c26a6cdc73d18953bed6a8ccd2888c6b9
- Realised P&L
- $-8.35
- Volume
- $174.00
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $2.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.455 | $1.41 | −$0.88 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.285 | $1.39 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.52at 0.260US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$5.82at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$3.74at 0.380US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$2.98at 0.440S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?
- +$1.83at 0.560Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 13:46 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999741 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 05:33 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999446 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 07:51 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.6699999912 | $2.29 |
| 09-18 22:27 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7199998994 | $2.29 |
| 09-18 12:21 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 18? | BUY | 0.5199999001 | $2.29 |
| 09-17 23:26 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.29 |
| 09-17 11:44 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 17? | BUY | 0.8099999399 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 15:39 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2799999804 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 07:38 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5299999229 | $1.10 |
| 09-07 12:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.7299999896 | $2.10 |
| 09-03 19:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6599997829 | $2.25 |
| 08-22 08:56 | Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.419999967 | $2.29 |
| 08-22 00:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.7699996533 | $1.91 |
| 08-20 03:38 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20? | BUY | 0.6599999885 | $2.29 |
| 08-19 04:37 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 19? | BUY | 0.5199999092 | $2.29 |