ZeroWallet
0x63260de9ed08e5744924511b97348762f052c522
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $633.6k
- Markets traded
- 819
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded819
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? · No | 0.629 | 0.655 | $591.61 | +$23.79 |
| Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? · No | 0.894 | 0.940 | $149.17 | +$7.34 |
| Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.967 | $135.38 | +$7.98 |
| Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30? · No | 0.292 | 0.185 | $51.82 | −$29.98 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.245 | $48.92 | −$3.00 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.030 | $27.61 | −$27.64 |
| Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.075 | $1.58 | −$1.93 |
| Will USD be at least 3.1M Iranian rials on September 30? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.004 | $1.33 | −$3.69 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 46 million views on day 3? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.224Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$402.68at 0.749Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?
- +$352.26at 0.880Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?
- +$308.53at 0.732Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
- +$285.51at 0.890Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 23:43 | Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $127.40 |
| 09-23 23:24 | Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | BUY | 0.89375 | $143.00 |
| 09-23 18:34 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 61.25 and 62.5 million views on day 5? | SELL | 0.175 | $7.00 |
| 09-23 17:35 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 61.25 and 62.5 million views on day 5? | BUY | 0.145 | $5.80 |
| 09-23 03:08 | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | SELL | 0.64 | $97.92 |
| 09-22 23:20 | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | SELL | 0.653038167 | $103.17 |
| 09-22 23:06 | Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $14.68 |
| 09-22 21:57 | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.6029839031 | $257.35 |
| 09-22 20:54 | Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $13.21 |
| 09-22 19:49 | Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30? | BUY | 0.24 | $41.48 |
| 09-22 19:24 | Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | SELL | 0.8925606883 | $174.28 |
| 09-21 23:00 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 52 million views on day 3? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.37 |
| 09-21 22:59 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 56 million views on day 3? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 09-21 22:59 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 56 million views on day 3? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:58 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 54 million views on day 3? | SELL | 0.0373491025 | $13.59 |