mispraiserandrey
0x6306b0f58db3ecd1301e9bc987172107659d9fc4
- Realised P&L
- $-121.69
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $31.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.00at 0.111Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 22?
- +$9.62at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 28?
- +$9.26at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 26?
- +$4.96at 0.094Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?
- +$4.96at 0.084Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 13:48 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 09-22 13:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.78 |
| 09-22 13:48 | Will XRP reach $1.70 on September 22? | BUY | 0.125 | $1.25 |
| 09-22 13:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.14 | $5.61 |
| 09-22 13:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.63 |
| 09-22 13:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.116 | $5.67 |
| 09-22 13:48 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on September 22? | BUY | 0.141 | $2.16 |
| 08-01 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 08-01 17:41 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-01 14:15 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.20 |
| 08-01 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.11 |
| 08-01 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.68 |
| 08-01 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.37 |
| 08-01 09:37 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.27 |
| 08-01 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.11 |