Duttdfd
0x62f750b35dc63009a5b2a164d8be52b94ce11ee9
- Realised P&L
- $26.25
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $30.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Eagles (-7.5) · Titans | 0.540 | 0.535 | $30.50 | −$0.28 |
| Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.25 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.50 |
| Will Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.46at 0.500Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$69.44at 0.500Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 23–30?
- +$23.80at 0.357Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?
- +$20.19at 0.266Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$15.44at 0.500Will Rob Riggle win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:01 | Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $54.94 |
| 09-16 08:00 | Spread: Eagles (-7.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $30.78 |
| 09-16 08:00 | Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $55.00 |
| 08-27 01:54 | Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-08-27? | BUY | 0.69 | $17.25 |
| 08-18 06:25 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19? | BUY | 0.63 | $17.64 |
| 08-04 07:12 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.57 | $20.52 |
| 07-21 07:41 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.23 | $5.87 |
| 07-01 07:00 | Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.41 | $23.25 |
| 06-23 08:56 | Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.26 | $7.15 |
| 05-27 12:26 | Roland Garros WTA: Eva Lys vs Sorana Cirstea | BUY | 0.8 | $27.68 |
| 05-13 08:36 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? | BUY | 0.35 | $12.95 |
| 05-12 03:30 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17? | BUY | 0.5 | $23.50 |
| 04-13 06:46 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.993 | $34.96 |
| 04-13 06:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 04-13 06:46 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $15.00 |