0x62f642a26d7d8FAA488bfC22b44E58D1805c079E-1762323267020
0x62f642a26d7d8faa488bfc22b44e58d1805c079e
- Realised P&L
- $-278.37
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $760.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs · Bilibili Gaming | 0.590 | 0.585 | $396.61 | −$3.39 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs · Gen.G | 0.930 | 0.915 | $196.77 | −$3.23 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs · Invictus Gaming | 0.560 | 0.545 | $166.98 | −$4.60 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.40 |
| Spurs vs. Grizzlies · Spurs | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.20at 0.860Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?
- +$83.74at 0.890Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. South Korea
- +$54.26at 0.949First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Czechia
- +$36.89at 0.961Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)
- +$32.39at 0.959Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:57 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | BUY | 0.5599999988 | $171.58 |
| 11-01 14:56 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | BUY | 0.5899999997 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 14:55 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | BUY | 0.5899999997 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 14:55 | LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | BUY | 0.93 | $200.00 |
| 07-30 14:10 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.817 | $102.76 |
| 07-28 13:05 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7949999937 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 16:25 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0709999931 | $9.40 |
| 03-30 12:00 | Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | BUY | 0.9591921424 | $761.28 |
| 03-13 04:00 | Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. South Korea | BUY | 0.8899999999 | $677.54 |
| 03-13 03:59 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.961 | $677.54 |
| 03-12 00:45 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9619999999 | $678.25 |
| 03-12 00:43 | Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | SELL | 0.4914849503 | $520.56 |
| 03-11 04:21 | Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.7935436122 | $1.1k |
| 03-10 11:57 | First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Czechia | BUY | 0.9493979853 | $1.0k |
| 03-10 11:56 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.961 | $1.0k |