PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

000002

0x62f516b727fea25dabff4ae297426f4849994b71

Realised P&L
$-336.30
Volume
$135.6k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$54.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? · No0.9990.996$53.81−$0.19
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9921.000$1.12+$0.01
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$63.33
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? · No0.0420.000$0.00−$50.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 07:12Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18?BUY0.999$54.00
09-09 05:14Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 September 7-13?BUY0.998$54.00
08-22 06:36Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in August?BUY0.999$54.00
08-14 06:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17?BUY0.999$13.00
08-14 06:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 16?BUY0.999$11.00
08-14 06:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 15?BUY0.9979999413$15.00
08-14 06:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 14?BUY0.998$15.00
07-22 06:23Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?BUY0.999$10.50
07-22 06:23Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?BUY0.999$10.00
07-22 06:23Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.999$12.00
07-22 06:22Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.999$11.00
07-22 06:22Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.997$10.00
07-05 05:33Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.3099999975$63.33
06-29 07:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 2?BUY0.992999998$3.00
06-29 07:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 1?BUY0.992999998$3.00