000002
0x62f516b727fea25dabff4ae297426f4849994b71
- Realised P&L
- $-336.30
- Volume
- $135.6k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $54.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $53.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.992 | 1.000 | $1.12 | +$0.01 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.33 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? · No | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.65at 0.690Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$11.05at 0.763Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?
- +$2.19at 0.840Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
- +$1.69at 0.899Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 30-January 5?
- +$1.67at 0.868Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 07:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.00 |
| 09-09 05:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.998 | $54.00 |
| 08-22 06:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.00 |
| 08-14 06:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 08-14 06:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 08-14 06:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 15? | BUY | 0.9979999413 | $15.00 |
| 08-14 06:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 07-22 06:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.50 |
| 07-22 06:23 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 06:23 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 07-22 06:22 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 07-22 06:22 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 05:33 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.3099999975 | $63.33 |
| 06-29 07:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 2? | BUY | 0.992999998 | $3.00 |
| 06-29 07:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 1? | BUY | 0.992999998 | $3.00 |