winwin10086
0x62e92bb03aa7e09c9f0bf000a364d61a1a63fbb9
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $336.3k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $16.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.759Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?
- +$996.97at 0.943US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
- +$921.66at 0.846Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?
- +$735.43at 0.675Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 23?
- +$718.63at 0.766Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 05:45 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.986 | $0.14 |
| 11-01 05:45 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.9475557024 | $1.3k |
| 11-01 05:19 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $163.35 |
| 11-01 05:14 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.946 | $3.0k |
| 11-01 05:13 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.9890065681 | $3.0k |
| 11-01 05:07 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.3k |
| 11-01 05:07 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.9900065311 | $5.3k |
| 10-31 19:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.9379786908 | $3.3k |
| 10-31 19:08 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.988 | $3.3k |
| 10-30 16:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.9128427836 | $238.00 |
| 10-30 15:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.7886472496 | $187.80 |
| 10-30 15:13 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.9501 | $190.02 |
| 10-30 12:45 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.9360889947 | $1.9k |
| 10-30 03:28 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.8431349274 | $1.9k |
| 10-30 03:28 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.9018526188 | $740.42 |