Mari1211
0x62e07c9ce4e7157671a1f710b700a3cee33415bb
- Realised P&L
- $-9.61
- Volume
- $522.62
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $15.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.335 | $14.26 | −$5.74 |
| Will XXXTentacion be featured on GTA VI: The Album? · No | 0.830 | 0.875 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Surigae makes landfall in Japan? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.013 | $0.27 | −$3.73 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" during White House Correspondents Dinner? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.69at 0.604Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.10at 0.913Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 05:08 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30? | BUY | 0.9099992538 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:26 | Will XXXTentacion be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.829999502 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:24 | Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 02:50 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.7402252765 | $4.00 |
| 09-25 02:36 | Surigae makes landfall in Japan? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-25 02:26 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30? | BUY | 0.1099999971 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 02:17 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $4.00 |
| 07-25 02:31 | Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 17:49 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.591999983 | $10.00 |