PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x522fDeA6fdB21Ad1a081f3c750Af0F762f33789C-1768036057653

0x62d5f3e56837c0c0619d5919a08944d9b78ba8e8

Realised P&L
$32.74
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$15.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 3.5 · Over0.7600.795$15.69+$0.69
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? · No0.5700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.4210.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.3460.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27? · No0.6500.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 21:10Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 3.5BUY0.7599999919$15.00
10-05 20:54France vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5SELL0.999$15.85
10-05 18:26France vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5BUY0.629999995$10.00
10-03 16:29Croatia vs. England: O/U 1.5SELL0.999$17.26
10-03 12:00Croatia vs. England: O/U 1.5BUY0.8099999959$14.00
10-01 20:43Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01?SELL0.999$13.68
09-29 09:59Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.7299999876$10.00
09-29 09:58Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-28 22:42Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.999$11.99
09-27 16:54Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
09-27 16:54Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.75$9.00
09-26 20:46Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26?SELL0.999$5.69
09-26 20:42Will Czechia win on 2026-09-26?SELL0.999$13.87
09-26 00:04Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.7$3.99
09-26 00:03Will Czechia win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.7199999942$10.00