0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179
0x62d56a93516db0181f7cdea919191ec07fa43d4f
- Realised P&L
- $486.86
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 1
- Open portfolio
- $729.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded1
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.001Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.012Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.003Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?
- +$845.97at 0.021Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
- +$548.07at 0.008Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 01:28 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.998 | $479.04 |
| 10-30 01:28 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.999 | $479.52 |
| 10-30 01:28 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.998 | $479.04 |
| 10-30 01:27 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.999 | $479.52 |
| 10-30 01:27 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.998 | $479.04 |
| 10-30 01:27 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.999 | $479.52 |
| 10-30 01:27 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.998 | $479.04 |
| 10-30 01:27 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.999 | $479.52 |
| 10-30 01:27 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.998 | $479.04 |
| 10-30 01:27 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.999 | $479.52 |
| 10-30 01:27 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.998 | $479.04 |
| 10-30 01:27 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.999 | $479.52 |
| 10-30 01:27 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.998 | $479.04 |
| 10-30 01:27 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.999 | $479.52 |
| 10-30 01:27 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.998 | $479.04 |