PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179

0x62d56a93516db0181f7cdea919191ec07fa43d4f

Realised P&L
$486.86
Volume
$20.2k
Markets traded
1
Open portfolio
$729.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded1
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1? · No0.7901.000$138.30+$28.99
Will Conner Mantz be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division? · Yes0.0420.493$48.81+$44.68
Will Joel Reichow be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division? · Yes0.0420.424$41.98+$37.85
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes0.0080.255$22.44+$21.75
Will Zouhair Talbi be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division? · No0.0030.495$17.37+$17.29
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes0.0290.953$17.14+$16.62
Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.0340.007$10.58−$38.06
Will Sergio Perez win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.0340.007$10.58−$38.06
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0080.115$10.12+$9.43
Will Esteban Ocon win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.0340.007$9.87−$38.76
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.0340.007$9.87−$38.76
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.0340.007$9.87−$38.76
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.495$8.91+$7.27
Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.0340.006$8.46−$40.17
Will Trace Crowe lead the 2026 World Wide Technology Championship following the second round? · Yes0.0080.495$7.42+$7.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 01:28Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.998$479.04
10-30 01:28Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.999$479.52
10-30 01:28Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.998$479.04
10-30 01:27Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.999$479.52
10-30 01:27Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.998$479.04
10-30 01:27Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.999$479.52
10-30 01:27Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.998$479.04
10-30 01:27Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.999$479.52
10-30 01:27Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.998$479.04
10-30 01:27Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.999$479.52
10-30 01:27Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.998$479.04
10-30 01:27Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.999$479.52
10-30 01:27Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.998$479.04
10-30 01:27Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.999$479.52
10-30 01:27Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.998$479.04