f00000
0x62d377f10f1f1479c295b9fb932a36f41bd6e694
- Realised P&L
- $880.33
- Volume
- $245.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,128
- Open portfolio
- $36.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,128
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$239.04at 0.905Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 7?
- +$143.06at 0.324Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 14?
- +$131.24at 0.861Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 10?
- +$130.69at 0.772Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 17?
- +$126.34at 0.591Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 02:42 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.08 |
| 08-07 02:40 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 08-07 02:38 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.85 |
| 08-07 02:37 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.75 |
| 08-07 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.92 |
| 08-07 02:15 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.11 |
| 08-07 02:08 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1588778023 | $12.26 |
| 08-06 09:16 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.23 |
| 08-06 09:09 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.996 | $49.80 |
| 08-06 09:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.996 | $59.76 |
| 08-06 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.996 | $59.76 |
| 08-06 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.994 | $134.20 |
| 08-06 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $81.65 |
| 08-06 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.85 |
| 08-06 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 6? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |