weaving
0x62cf0215e538a342585fc4d752c6fede15b7261e
- Realised P&L
- $-184.72
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $10.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $6.81 | −$79.05 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $3.50 | −$5.50 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Bo Nix win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.32at 0.360OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
- +$-18.43at 0.140Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 22:45 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0063071957 | $85.87 |
| 06-08 22:44 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0917395139 | $32.76 |
| 06-08 22:44 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.5696255401 | $23.73 |
| 11-04 22:54 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.00 |
| 11-01 17:49 | Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.0338934605 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 17:01 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.3599999904 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 17:01 | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 16:54 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 16:51 | Will Bo Nix win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | BUY | 0.0142810127 | $40.00 |