FedeP
0x62c5035d45eb726545c9ae53fa12a93698771de7
- Realised P&L
- $-12.51
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $80.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.485 | $50.23 | +$21.23 |
| Will Warsh say "Echo" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.530 | $30.56 | +$12.11 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Up | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Down | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET · Up | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Up | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.57at 0.339Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?
- +$16.67at 0.807Vancouver: August Holmgren vs Braden Shick
- +$6.77at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
- +$6.08at 0.943Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Olle Wallin
- +$5.68at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 07:54 | Will Warsh say "Echo" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.32 | $18.45 |
| 09-15 07:47 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2799999988 | $29.00 |
| 07-31 14:50 | Samsun: Koki Matsuda vs Gabriel Debru | SELL | 0.09 | $15.25 |
| 07-31 14:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SELL | 0.7 | $21.21 |
| 07-31 14:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 14:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 14:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.71 | $5.81 |
| 07-31 14:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 14:14 | Samsun: Koki Matsuda vs Gabriel Debru | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 10:10 | Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Frederico Ferreira Silva | BUY | 0.839999995 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 10:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.839999995 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 10:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $20.48 |
| 07-31 10:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 10:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $6.27 |
| 07-31 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |