MooreLucast
0x62ba74c339414fd4634e25a9c354aeb0d267f94f
- Realised P&L
- $26.91
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $8.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will General Mills say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.972 | $8.83 | −$0.17 |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5 · Under | 0.733 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges · Andrey Rublev | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.490Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)
- +$50.28at 0.547Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
- +$23.18at 0.567Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$5.44at 0.847Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu
- +$0.33at 0.900Wizards vs. Hawks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 10:16 | Will General Mills say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.00 |
| 08-18 15:17 | Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges | BUY | 0.44999997 | $6.00 |
| 07-04 11:29 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.5599999978 | $30.00 |
| 06-20 10:13 | Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 06-07 07:02 | Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5 | BUY | 0.7330652025 | $20.00 |
| 06-07 07:01 | Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu | BUY | 0.8430281571 | $30.00 |
| 05-12 23:52 | Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | BUY | 0.5399999964 | $60.00 |
| 03-22 19:09 | Spread: Nuggets (-8.5) | BUY | 0.4899999998 | $1.0k |
| 03-22 18:24 | Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5 | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $1000.00 |
| 03-07 13:36 | Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.00 |
| 03-07 13:36 | Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.981999999 | $2.00 |
| 03-07 13:36 | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.963999991 | $3.00 |
| 02-23 08:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $4.10 |
| 02-23 08:17 | Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9909997344 | $3.00 |
| 02-23 08:17 | Wizards vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.89999976 | $3.00 |