PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MooreLucast

0x62ba74c339414fd4634e25a9c354aeb0d267f94f

Realised P&L
$26.91
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$8.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration93.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will General Mills say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call? · Yes0.9900.972$8.83$0.17
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score · No0.3900.000$0.00$100.00
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5 · Under0.7330.000$0.00$20.00
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5 · Under0.5100.000$0.00$1000.00
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges · Andrey Rublev0.4500.000$0.00$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 10:16Will General Mills say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?BUY0.99$9.00
08-18 15:17Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno BorgesBUY0.44999997$6.00
07-04 11:29Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.5599999978$30.00
06-20 10:13Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.3899999982$100.00
06-07 07:02Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5BUY0.7330652025$20.00
06-07 07:01Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete BuBUY0.8430281571$30.00
05-12 23:52Spread: Spurs (-9.5)BUY0.5399999964$60.00
03-22 19:09Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)BUY0.4899999998$1.0k
03-22 18:24Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5BUY0.5099999999$1000.00
03-07 13:36Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?BUY0.96$4.00
03-07 13:36Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?BUY0.981999999$2.00
03-07 13:36No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?BUY0.963999991$3.00
02-23 08:18Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?BUY0.9929999998$4.10
02-23 08:17Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.9909997344$3.00
02-23 08:17Wizards vs. HawksBUY0.89999976$3.00