0x62b4A72fd453A23e7B9E6d98962086777Db677b6-1774147772970
0x62b4a72fd453a23e7b9e6d98962086777db677b6
- Realised P&L
- $-21.34
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $33.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.009 | $15.08 | −$11.30 |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.018 | $10.74 | −$10.18 |
| Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.011 | $4.55 | −$2.27 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.383 | 0.091 | $3.19 | −$10.22 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.60 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.74 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers · Raptors | 0.335 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.33 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.02 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.72at 0.114Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?
- +$20.15at 0.194Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
- +$3.47at 0.089Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
- +$3.46at 0.628Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
- +$3.27at 0.840Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 09:31 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.383 | $13.41 |
| 05-12 05:41 | Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.045 | $7.20 |
| 05-12 05:39 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.310308 | $6.21 |
| 05-11 22:05 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $1.38 |
| 05-11 22:03 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 21:58 | Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.164 | $1.09 |
| 05-11 21:53 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.085 | $5.10 |
| 05-11 17:53 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.086 | $5.16 |
| 05-11 17:49 | Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $7.29 |
| 05-11 17:48 | Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $5.82 |
| 05-11 15:01 | Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.089 | $1.78 |
| 05-11 15:00 | Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.38 |
| 05-11 15:00 | Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $0.48 |
| 05-11 14:13 | Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $4.50 |
| 05-11 14:12 | Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $3.00 |