0x62B33015bDCa08773d9be3F8f6c0209Ee4389083-1789372448843
0x62b33015bdca08773d9be3f8f6c0209ee4389083
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $17.5k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar16.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.875 | 0.965 | $966.05 | +$90.05 |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.929 | 0.956 | $709.80 | +$19.80 |
| Will "Surviving Hurricane Otis" be the top US Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.876 | 0.964 | $330.03 | +$30.03 |
| Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.982 | $294.45 | +$30.45 |
| Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.883 | 0.978 | $221.35 | +$21.35 |
| Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers · Trail Blazers | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$525.78at 0.813Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$512.84at 0.814Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$327.00at 0.875Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
- +$268.10at 0.859Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$187.09at 0.778Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 13:06 | Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9293265749 | $690.00 |
| 10-31 05:11 | Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.8738084417 | $700.00 |
| 10-31 05:06 | Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.8832096028 | $200.00 |
| 10-30 13:12 | Will "Surviving Hurricane Otis" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.8762717423 | $300.00 |
| 10-29 12:08 | Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.7099999956 | $16.00 |
| 10-29 11:57 | Panthers vs. Packers | BUY | 0.6499999898 | $16.00 |
| 10-24 13:19 | Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9180785898 | $14.00 |
| 10-23 17:26 | Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.83 | $58.10 |
| 10-23 17:24 | Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 10-23 17:24 | Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 10-23 06:55 | Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.7555126064 | $1000.00 |
| 10-18 12:54 | Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.832 | $16.64 |
| 10-18 12:43 | Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.8765423618 | $26.80 |
| 10-18 12:42 | Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.850636 | $85.06 |
| 10-18 12:42 | Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.5076307434 | $100.00 |