gulrob
0x62b10e12273c9e45335b7fb4cefdc1b9d5816c3c
- Realised P&L
- $-472.80
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $198.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.98at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?
- +$9.54at 0.351Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 8?
- +$9.27at 0.592Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 8?
- +$8.13at 0.388Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 17?
- +$6.76at 0.244Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.76 |
| 10-09 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.8599999972 | $12.28 |
| 10-09 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.4427884509 | $12.28 |
| 10-09 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.16 | $12.41 |
| 10-08 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.6599999896 | $12.67 |
| 10-08 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.8099999917 | $12.67 |
| 10-08 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 8? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.17 |
| 10-08 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 8? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.6299999906 | $12.78 |
| 10-08 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.5999999907 | $12.91 |
| 10-07 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.5799999982 | $13.18 |
| 10-07 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.6973544974 | $13.18 |
| 10-07 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 6? | SELL | 0.108605852 | $1.26 |