win-at-all-cost
0x62ad81eddc36cc1e26234c908a69277bce9779fc
- Realised P&L
- $176.47
- Volume
- $1.41M
- Markets traded
- 2,512
- Open portfolio
- $222.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,512
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.277Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
- +$5.8kat 0.504Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$3.7kat 0.623Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.821Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.507Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 12:30 | Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 07-30 12:30 | Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | BUY | 0.946 | $4.73 |
| 07-30 12:30 | Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 07-29 18:00 | Will no one dissent the July Fed decision? | BUY | 0.97 | $3.88 |
| 07-28 16:07 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 07-28 16:07 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 07-28 16:07 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 07-28 15:51 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last at least 15 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $9.83 |
| 07-28 15:51 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 07-28 15:51 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.64 |
| 07-28 15:51 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 07-28 15:51 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-28 15:51 | Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 07-27 10:54 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.41 | $1.45 |
| 07-27 10:54 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |