PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

win-at-all-cost

0x62ad81eddc36cc1e26234c908a69277bce9779fc

Realised P&L
$176.47
Volume
$1.41M
Markets traded
2,512
Open portfolio
$222.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,512
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0000.525$40.42+$40.42
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1800.00 and 1899.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0000.154$17.12+$17.12
Will Yoann Damet win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? · Yes0.0000.385$15.46+$15.46
Will B.J. Callaghan win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? · Yes0.0000.381$15.32+$15.32
Will Gregg Berhalter win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? · Yes0.0000.377$15.16+$15.16
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0000.090$14.35+$14.35
Will Eric Quill win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? · Yes0.0000.349$14.05+$14.05
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader? · Yes0.0000.059$13.75+$13.75
Will Jesper Sørensen win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? · Yes0.0000.393$10.52+$10.52
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0000.365$9.36+$9.36
Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0000.279$7.14+$7.14
Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader? · Yes0.0000.038$6.28+$6.28
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0000.234$5.98+$5.98
Will Raphael Wicky win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? · Yes0.0000.344$4.60+$4.60
Will Amina Mohammed be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0000.172$4.40+$4.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 12:30Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?BUY0.998$4.99
07-30 12:30Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?BUY0.946$4.73
07-30 12:30Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?BUY0.998$4.99
07-29 18:00Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?BUY0.97$3.88
07-28 16:07Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.83$4.15
07-28 16:07Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.85$4.25
07-28 16:07Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.98$4.90
07-28 15:51Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last at least 15 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.983$9.83
07-28 15:51Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.84$8.40
07-28 15:51Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.94$5.64
07-28 15:51Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.84$8.40
07-28 15:51Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.999$9.99
07-28 15:51Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?BUY0.77$7.70
07-27 10:54Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?BUY0.41$1.45
07-27 10:54Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?BUY0.58$11.60