neobrother
0x6297b93ea37ff92a57fd636410f3b71ebf74517e
- Realised P&L
- $37.7k
- Volume
- $2.32M
- Markets traded
- 4,747
- Open portfolio
- $57.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,747
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.024Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?
- +$1.6kat 0.006Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on February 9?
- +$942.32at 0.020Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on March 1?
- +$924.12at 0.005Will the highest temperature in New York City be 29°F or below on February 3?
- +$909.77at 0.004Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 59°F or below on March 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0193820108 | $1.68 |
| 08-04 17:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.16 | $17.68 |
| 08-04 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2161538462 | $11.24 |
| 08-04 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2912175103 | $10.64 |
| 08-04 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.0461656442 | $4.21 |
| 08-04 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.0222489645 | $6.88 |
| 08-04 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.058 | $0.58 |
| 08-04 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.0181680651 | $5.72 |
| 08-04 11:22 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.2755555556 | $4.96 |
| 08-04 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.4410514541 | $9.86 |
| 08-04 10:54 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.37 | $5.55 |
| 08-04 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0292011 | $5.84 |
| 08-04 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1050505 | $21.01 |
| 08-03 18:53 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.0571081241 | $2.89 |
| 08-03 18:43 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |