PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gramton

0x629280c0fd72365de364be598d0489ba19f03f7a

Realised P&L
$-136.77
Volume
$17.9k
Markets traded
2,647
Open portfolio
$20.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,647
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 10:03Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?BUY0.24$4.08
10-08 08:27Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?BUY0.3$1.80
10-08 08:22Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?BUY0.29$1.45
10-08 08:17Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?BUY0.3$1.50
10-08 07:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9?BUY0.18$1.08
10-08 07:12Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9?BUY0.15$3.75
10-08 06:47Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9?BUY0.26$1.30
10-08 06:42Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9?BUY0.25$1.25
10-08 06:27Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9?BUY0.2$5.00
10-08 06:03Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9?BUY0.26$1.82
10-08 06:03Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 9?BUY0.27$4.86
10-07 18:18Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?BUY0.29$3.48
10-07 18:13Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?BUY0.28$1.40
08-28 16:40Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?BUY0.3899998479$1.00