PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

seniordesigner

0x628ca121144387cfa4a903cf2453d8194aa105ad

Realised P&L
$-15.05
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
435
Open portfolio
$2.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded435
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes0.2900.295$1.02+$0.02
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes0.1300.125$0.96−$0.04
Will Lando Norris win 3+ Grands Prix in 2026? · Yes0.4900.370$0.76−$0.24
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8AM ET · Up0.5800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Olympique Marseille vs. Ajax Amsterdam end in a draw? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Valencia win on 2025-09-29? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina0.4100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - September 19, 8AM ET · Up0.6800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 17:37Will Lando Norris win 3+ Grands Prix in 2026?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-06 17:36Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-06 17:34Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
07-22 07:53XRP Up or Down - July 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.64$1.00
07-22 07:53Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.5599998432$1.00
07-22 07:53Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.66$1.00
07-18 12:57France vs. England: O/U 3.5BUY0.5599998432$1.00
07-18 12:56France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.6699999196$1.00
07-18 12:56Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4019999104$2.00
07-08 17:20Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5699998233$1.00
07-08 17:20Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5BUY0.5699998233$1.00
07-08 17:19Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5BUY0.4699998778$1.00
07-08 17:19Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
07-06 20:33Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5BUY0.4699998778$1.00
07-06 20:33United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5BUY0.579999826$1.00