seniordesigner
0x628ca121144387cfa4a903cf2453d8194aa105ad
- Realised P&L
- $-15.05
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 435
- Open portfolio
- $2.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded435
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.97at 0.103Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$6.69at 0.130Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-02?
- +$5.65at 0.266Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?
- +$4.26at 0.540Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?
- +$3.76at 0.210Will Azerbaijan vs. Ukraine end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 17:37 | Will Lando Norris win 3+ Grands Prix in 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:36 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:34 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 07:53 | XRP Up or Down - July 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 07:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 07:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 12:57 | France vs. England: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 12:56 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 12:56 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4019999104 | $2.00 |
| 07-08 17:20 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 17:20 | Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 17:19 | Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 17:19 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 20:33 | Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 20:33 | United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |