Fullvie
0x6286dde2c74df7163da5c205f312b91e9389f59c
- Realised P&L
- $8.0k
- Volume
- $2.71M
- Markets traded
- 569
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded569
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.1kat 0.072Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$3.1kat 0.410Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.017France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.726Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$1.3kat 0.011US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:48 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $205.00 |
| 11-01 17:46 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.26 | $138.58 |
| 11-01 11:29 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.88 | $12.23 |
| 11-01 11:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | BUY | 0.88 | $396.00 |
| 10-31 22:00 | Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by December 31? | BUY | 0.098 | $0.51 |
| 10-31 21:57 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 10-31 21:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | SELL | 0.98 | $245.00 |
| 10-31 20:35 | Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 10-31 20:35 | Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.197 | $6.90 |
| 10-31 20:32 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.9289390966 | $298.19 |
| 10-31 18:01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.78 | $312.00 |
| 10-30 14:40 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0273329949 | $2.69 |
| 10-30 14:40 | Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 14:39 | Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.00308 | $0.29 |
| 10-30 14:39 | Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.23 |