0x6281bfe5c1a1819e69e4ffbd5b59ea5fc348af90
- Realised P&L
- $-7.03
- Volume
- $37.39
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $0.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.525 | $0.66 | −$0.34 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.115 | $0.31 | −$0.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.87at 0.540Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?
- +$0.79at 0.560US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.48at 0.679Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$0.44at 0.699Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$0.40at 0.718Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:45 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:57 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:49 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 16:11 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 00:20 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 12:52 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 21:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 10:42 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 22:58 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 14:46 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in August? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 03:51 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.7099994391 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 19:04 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 10:46 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 01:55 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 07:06 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |