0x6278758fa0709a61da9041c596e23cc53a0ad237
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $16.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.715 | $7.94 | −$0.06 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.195 | $3.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.029 | $2.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.215 | $1.50 | +$0.51 |
| Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.185 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.005 | $0.09 | −$1.91 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:09 | Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 21:03 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 21:01 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.1428571429 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:59 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 20:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.029 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 20:50 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $8.00 |