0x62687da43b85b0edb69109479b02d55e0b981697
0x62687da43b85b0edb69109479b02d55e0b981697
- Realised P&L
- $-517.45
- Volume
- $30.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,015
- Open portfolio
- $24.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,015
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.29at 0.181Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$60.05at 0.123Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
- +$50.94at 0.124Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
- +$43.68at 0.066Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
- +$33.90at 0.158Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.6709999846 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 02:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 00:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 00:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 3°C or below on November 2? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 11-01 22:07 | Spread: Pacers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.529999973 | $2.55 |
| 11-01 21:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.299597416 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 20:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.4009999334 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 19:36 | Spread: Commanders (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5399999823 | $1.83 |
| 11-01 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.8723779007 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 18:56 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 16:26 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner | SELL | 0.52 | $1.04 |