lkjoijho
0x62592944eb65f5111ae4c2fabc7fa24e828b7e46
- Realised P&L
- $48.90
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $38.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.996 | $19.15 | +$4.15 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.819 | 0.966 | $13.07 | +$1.98 |
| China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech · Petra Marcinko | 0.500 | 0.495 | $4.92 | −$0.05 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.087 | $0.94 | −$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.11at 0.276Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik
- +$12.22at 0.450US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$7.60at 0.240Senators vs. Oilers
- +$7.52at 0.799Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
- +$7.16at 0.645Sharks vs. Senators
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 07:21 | China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech | SELL | 0.49 | $2.06 |
| 09-29 07:13 | China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech | SELL | 0.49 | $7.77 |
| 09-29 07:03 | China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 06-28 21:12 | Will Emma Raducanu be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.996 | $15.00 |
| 06-28 15:42 | Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda | BUY | 0.5 | $1.68 |
| 06-27 19:32 | Wimbledon WTA: Elsa Jacquemot vs Naomi Osaka | BUY | 0.1399999922 | $15.00 |
| 06-27 15:16 | Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.91 |
| 06-27 15:14 | Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.88 | $12.35 |
| 06-27 15:11 | Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.98 | $7.92 |
| 06-27 15:11 | Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.00 |
| 06-27 15:04 | Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8029999975 | $15.00 |
| 06-26 22:50 | Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | BUY | 0.9316634113 | $15.00 |
| 06-26 01:03 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8299999657 | $1.45 |
| 06-24 11:11 | Sonmez vs. Bejlek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 06-24 10:50 | Sonmez vs. Bejlek: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |