0x624706a21fccebb0ce10c08c1c0d3402d50d9da1
0x624706a21fccebb0ce10c08c1c0d3402d50d9da1
- Realised P&L
- $-400.57
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $319.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tunisia vs. Botswana end in a draw? · Yes | 0.350 | 1.000 | $237.88 | +$154.58 |
| Will Guadeloupe vs. Barbados end in a draw? · Yes | 0.110 | 1.000 | $42.00 | +$37.38 |
| Will Zimbabwe vs. DR Congo end in a draw? · No | 0.880 | 1.000 | $30.98 | +$3.70 |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-09-28? · No | 0.428 | 1.000 | $8.52 | +$4.87 |
| Will Barbados win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$333.00at 0.052Will Japan win on 2026-09-28?
- +$114.00at 0.701Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Roman Safiullin
- +$89.69at 0.818Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
- +$88.20at 0.219Curitiba: Samuel Heredia vs Juan Sebastian Osorio
- +$87.46at 0.823Adana: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Anastasia Gasanova
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 21:00 | Will Tunisia win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.87 | $0.29 |
| 09-28 20:47 | Will Guadeloupe vs. Barbados end in a draw? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.62 |
| 09-28 20:41 | Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.71 |
| 09-28 20:41 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.0408 | $3.06 |
| 09-28 20:37 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.85 | $54.40 |
| 09-28 20:36 | Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999978 | $14.31 |
| 09-28 20:36 | Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $24.44 |
| 09-28 20:34 | Will Barbados win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:25 | Will Tunisia win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4099999976 | $3.36 |
| 09-28 20:25 | Will Tunisia vs. Botswana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.35 | $83.30 |
| 09-28 20:16 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.08 | $9.36 |
| 09-28 19:04 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | BUY | 0.81 | $398.52 |
| 09-28 18:16 | Columbus: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Daniil Ostapenkov | BUY | 0.535 | $10.70 |
| 09-28 17:45 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.52 |
| 09-28 17:22 | Will Armenia win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.17 | $78.54 |