buckychris
0x6241225cb1ea02ff4e110eb797dea9b3e1a19c9c
- Realised P&L
- $-22.64
- Volume
- $540.44
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $9.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.055 | $5.55 | −$13.12 |
| Obama arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.025 | $2.57 | −$9.43 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.032 | $0.97 | −$19.03 |
| Will Trump post "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" on Truth Social this week? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Trump say "Ukraine" during Speech to the Nation? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Down | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.45at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
- +$4.26at 0.540US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$3.62at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
- +$1.36at 0.685Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
- +$1.04at 0.906Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 22:50 | Will Trump say "Ukraine" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 22:44 | Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation? | SELL | 0.22 | $6.00 |
| 07-15 00:36 | Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.3299999787 | $9.00 |
| 06-17 00:24 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1799999903 | $13.67 |
| 05-21 03:40 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 10:02 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 03:42 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $20.00 |
| 05-13 09:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.50 |
| 05-12 00:35 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 05-09 06:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 05-09 05:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 11:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $4.43 |
| 05-08 11:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999933 | $3.00 |
| 05-08 11:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 11:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $8.68 |