PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6240e6F8575Cd0906E6BB385E32e97e751a83c6a-1772612828935

0x6240e6f8575cd0906e6bb385e32e97e751a83c6a

Realised P&L
$30.06
Volume
$636.13
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$2.55

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? · Yes0.2000.255$1.27+$0.28
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? · Yes0.0950.080$0.84$0.16
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026? · Yes0.3400.125$0.37$0.63
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.001$0.07$0.93
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5350.000$0.00$2.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$1.00
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$1.00
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-22 08:11Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.2599998648$1.00
08-22 08:11Will Vietnam win on 2026-08-22?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
07-20 06:54Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.057$0.14
07-17 00:29Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4189999049$1.00
07-17 00:28France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.3699998631$1.00
07-17 00:28Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4199998236$1.00
07-15 04:51Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.197$4.32
07-14 13:49Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0076335878$1.00
07-14 13:47Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
07-14 13:47Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.2974998386$1.00
07-14 13:46Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3125$1.00
07-12 07:51Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.429999828$1.00
07-12 07:50Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?BUY0.0952380952$1.00
07-09 03:32Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?BUY0.33999983$1.00
07-09 03:32Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?BUY0.2$1.00