0x6240e6F8575Cd0906E6BB385E32e97e751a83c6a-1772612828935
0x6240e6f8575cd0906e6bb385e32e97e751a83c6a
- Realised P&L
- $30.06
- Volume
- $636.13
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $2.55
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.00at 0.400Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$4.89at 0.173Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.83at 0.600US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$4.53at 0.184Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$3.74at 0.215Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 08:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 08:11 | Will Vietnam win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 06:54 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.057 | $0.14 |
| 07-17 00:29 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4189999049 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 00:28 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 00:28 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 04:51 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.197 | $4.32 |
| 07-14 13:49 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0076335878 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 13:47 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 13:47 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.2974998386 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 13:46 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3125 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 07:51 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 07:50 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.0952380952 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 03:32 | Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 03:32 | Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |