0x624028d9f9c6cdcef21b0f650a487659db80138b
0x624028d9f9c6cdcef21b0f650a487659db80138b
- Realised P&L
- $-65.06
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $15.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 8? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.006 | $14.48 | −$40.52 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 8? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.003 | $1.20 | −$2.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.13at 0.132Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$1.87at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ET
- +$1.29at 0.143Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$0.93at 0.773Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$0.84at 0.121Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.0075833333 | $3.64 |
| 10-08 18:09 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 8? | BUY | 0.024687121 | $55.00 |
| 10-08 17:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 8? | SELL | 0.166 | $35.52 |
| 10-08 17:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.173 | $37.02 |
| 10-08 17:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 8? | SELL | 0.0152568536 | $19.11 |
| 10-08 17:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.0399274491 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 17:19 | XRP Up or Down - October 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999948 | $3.70 |
| 10-08 17:14 | Solana Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.3366666667 | $4.04 |
| 10-08 17:05 | Solana Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 17:03 | XRP Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 17:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $6.25 |
| 10-08 17:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $1.50 |
| 10-08 16:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.010989011 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 16:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 16:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |