PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

greggg

0x623f2700686f380b0f0f640474f91df6063e53bc

Realised P&L
$164.01
Volume
$898.6k
Markets traded
1,307
Open portfolio
$329.88

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,307
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration68.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2900.295$59.00+$1.00
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2700.255$51.00−$3.00
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2700.265$26.50−$0.50
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · Yes0.1000.105$21.00+$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · Yes0.0510.055$19.25+$1.25
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0390.038$15.40−$0.20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · Yes0.0700.065$13.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes0.1300.130$13.00+$0.00
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · Yes0.0290.026$12.98−$1.20
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0130.014$11.20+$0.80
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? · Yes0.0140.013$7.80−$0.60
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas? · Yes0.0080.007$7.50−$0.50
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? · Yes0.0080.007$7.50−$0.50
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? · Yes0.0100.011$6.90+$0.90
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · Yes0.0140.017$6.80+$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 15:32Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine?BUY0.002$4.00
11-01 15:32Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Texas?BUY0.002$4.00
11-01 15:32Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio?BUY0.002$4.00
11-01 15:31Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?BUY0.002$4.00
11-01 15:16Will Republicans win Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan?BUY0.002$4.00
11-01 15:12Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?BUY0.008$8.00
11-01 15:09Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?BUY0.003$3.00
11-01 15:09Will Republicans win Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?BUY0.003$3.00
10-29 16:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
10-29 15:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ETBUY0.03$0.30
10-29 15:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ETBUY0.09$9.00
10-29 14:43Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?BUY0.06$0.30
10-29 14:38Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?BUY0.06$6.00
10-28 11:57Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?BUY0.14$14.00
10-28 08:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ETBUY0.04$4.00