whatthehellyante
0x623f199d1bc572a3ddde62b426bc3c023da35ca8
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $1.31M
- Markets traded
- 1,605
- Open portfolio
- $267.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,605
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.927 | $111.30 | −$0.30 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7? · Yes | 0.987 | 0.989 | $79.08 | +$0.12 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 7? · No | 0.980 | 0.992 | $76.44 | +$0.89 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.045 | $0.70 | −$0.08 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? · Down | 0.162 | 0.002 | $0.15 | −$16.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$732.73at 0.029Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?
- +$608.06at 0.040Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19?
- +$517.36at 0.225Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?
- +$481.12at 0.286Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET
- +$440.36at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27? | SELL | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 05-26 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 05-26 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 05-26 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27? | SELL | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 05-26 14:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 05-26 14:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 05-26 12:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26? | BUY | 0.82 | $12.30 |
| 05-26 12:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26? | BUY | 0.85 | $9.52 |
| 05-26 12:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26? | BUY | 0.85 | $9.52 |
| 05-26 12:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 05-26 12:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26? | BUY | 0.81 | $20.25 |
| 05-26 12:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 05-26 07:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26? | BUY | 0.87 | $13.92 |
| 05-26 07:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 05-26 02:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26? | BUY | 0.86 | $7.74 |