PolyBot

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Traders

doc.holliday

0x6239c6146935f5e5e3c08b88c25997997935c6b4

Realised P&L
$-42.1k
Volume
$2.62M
Markets traded
1,885
Open portfolio
$62.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,885
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration77.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23? · No0.0220.009$15.44$25.56
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 21-27? · Yes0.0140.012$15.29$2.71
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 25? · No0.0190.006$14.21$30.79
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 24? · No0.0100.004$4.97$8.03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 24? · No0.0190.008$4.21$5.79
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23? · No0.0070.003$3.48$6.51
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 25? · No0.0290.012$2.90$4.10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 23? · No0.0050.002$2.48$6.52
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Down0.0170.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on August 30? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$605.12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$2.50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 16? · No0.0060.000$0.00$38.96
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 14? · No0.0140.000$0.00$15.00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5PM ET · Down0.0280.000$0.00$33.55
Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 03:48Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-22 22:49Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 6PM ETBUY0.0041185269$1.00
09-22 19:37Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23?BUY0.0033355292$1.00
09-22 19:35Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23?BUY0.0149999999$1.00
09-22 19:31Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23?BUY0.004$1.00
09-22 17:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.2799999978$5.00
09-22 17:10Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 25?BUY0.0289999997$2.00
09-22 17:09Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 25?BUY0.0289999998$5.00
09-22 17:09Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23?BUY0.02$10.00
09-22 17:08Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23?BUY0.02$5.00
09-22 17:07Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23?BUY0.02$10.00
09-22 17:06Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 21-27?BUY0.013$5.00
09-22 16:44Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 25?BUY0.019$10.00
09-22 16:37Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 25?BUY0.019$10.00
09-22 16:35Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 25?BUY0.019$10.00