doc.holliday
0x6239c6146935f5e5e3c08b88c25997997935c6b4
- Realised P&L
- $-42.1k
- Volume
- $2.62M
- Markets traded
- 1,885
- Open portfolio
- $62.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,885
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.1kat 0.023Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?
- +$5.1kat 0.042Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 August 24-30?
- +$3.7kat 0.394Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on August 31?
- +$2.1kat 0.319Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$1.7kat 0.154Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 03:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 22:49 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.0041185269 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 19:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23? | BUY | 0.0033355292 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 19:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23? | BUY | 0.0149999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 19:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 17:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 17:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 25? | BUY | 0.0289999997 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 17:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 25? | BUY | 0.0289999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 17:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 17:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 17:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 17:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.013 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 16:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 25? | BUY | 0.019 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 16:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 25? | BUY | 0.019 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 16:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 25? | BUY | 0.019 | $10.00 |