tukorama
0x62352c7102a441e079da4e0648e15bf61b1ee56a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $114.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,182
- Open portfolio
- $7.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,182
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026? · Yes | 0.248 | 0.735 | $7.35 | +$4.87 |
| Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026? · Yes | 0.248 | 0.017 | $0.17 | −$2.31 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Down | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bolivia win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.465 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.11 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.224 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET · Down | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$286.06at 0.259Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
- +$156.01at 0.064Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$118.27at 0.137Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$115.69at 0.313Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$97.76at 0.414Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 21:38 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.94 | $10.34 |
| 09-27 21:38 | Will Bolivia vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | BUY | 0.93 | $10.23 |
| 09-27 10:49 | Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on October 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-27 09:37 | Will there be under 25 tornadoes in the US in September 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.06 |
| 09-27 09:37 | Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 09-27 09:37 | Will there be 125 or more tornadoes in the US in September 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $9.94 |
| 09-26 21:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 22:17 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.2239999734 | $6.00 |
| 07-18 15:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | SELL | 0.68 | $3.24 |
| 07-18 15:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 01:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.00 |
| 07-16 01:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $1.63 |
| 07-16 01:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 17:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.649999935 | $3.00 |