0x6234c698d0558a7e7fa3eef10a318aa00a1c6346
0x6234c698d0558a7e7fa3eef10a318aa00a1c6346
- Realised P&L
- $0.33
- Volume
- $74.16
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $3.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.665 | $1.80 | +$0.80 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.964 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.400 | 0.048 | $0.12 | −$0.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.33at 0.300US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$0.42at 0.570Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$0.36at 0.670US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$0.29at 0.777Will Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?
- +$0.27at 0.790US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 22:16 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 02:19 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 05:23 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 03:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 07:32 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.72 |
| 09-02 07:32 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.58 |
| 08-24 00:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 16:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 22:42 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of August 17 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.57 |
| 08-17 10:01 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 03:41 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of August 17 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.95 |
| 08-17 01:25 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 16:24 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 01:40 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 14:57 | Will Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |