0x622ba5da3c039608b4b41112004a5cfdc177359d
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5AM ET · Up | 0.520 | 0.185 | $1.78 | −$3.22 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET · Up | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4PM ET · Up | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4AM ET · Up | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.98at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
- +$-5.19at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12PM ET
- +$-5.25at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
- +$-6.75at 0.607Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
- +$-10.32at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 09:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 09:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.0514447396 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 09:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 21:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $3.73 |
| 11-01 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 17:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 16:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 15:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |