PolyBot

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Traders

pablito84merodio

0x622b86cb50f9f7bc4af5f7a49a3c372627da41a6

Realised P&L
$-7.47
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$5.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5400.715$3.97+$0.97
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-02? · Yes0.4500.445$0.99−$0.01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0890.021$0.23−$0.77
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.6100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Up0.6200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
Nets vs. Kings · Nets0.3300.000$0.00−$20.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Down0.1070.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Up0.6300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Up0.6300.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 18:30Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-02?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-26 18:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-15 17:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-15 17:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-12 18:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-12 18:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.32$1.00
10-12 18:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-11 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.4$1.00
10-11 08:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-11 08:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-11 08:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-11 08:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-11 08:09Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETBUY0.8499997025$1.00
10-11 08:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETBUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-11 08:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETBUY0.7099998509$1.00