0x6228b4b3b9b7b964efa618b4743bd2693d83ab1a
- Realised P&L
- $-224.20
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 281
- Open portfolio
- $1.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded281
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.003 | $0.86 | −$1.14 |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 12? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 12? · Yes | 0.244 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 12? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.32at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$34.95at 0.170Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
- +$33.55at 0.595Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$27.60at 0.545Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
- +$22.09at 0.421Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 19:36 | Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 07-13 19:47 | Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.0069999965 | $2.00 |
| 07-13 18:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 18:21 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on July 13? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.36 |
| 07-13 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 13? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.67 |
| 07-13 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 13? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.75 |
| 07-13 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 13? | SELL | 0.2401694915 | $3.54 |
| 07-12 01:43 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on July 13? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 01:37 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 13? | BUY | 0.1355680977 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 13? | BUY | 0.1607717042 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 13? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 12? | BUY | 0.243902439 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 21:46 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 12? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 07-11 21:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 12? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |