ellieshooter
0x62257639889a39905b763ad9720bb575bad05eb6
- Realised P&L
- $-109.53
- Volume
- $475.6k
- Markets traded
- 304
- Open portfolio
- $4.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded304
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.13at 0.074Will Lana Del Rey release a new song in 2026?
- +$6.65at 0.009Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?
- +$5.05at 0.096Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
- +$4.41at 0.016Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?
- +$3.23at 0.026Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-17 06:00 | Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.277 | $8.40 |
| 12-17 05:08 | Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.277 | $8.40 |
| 12-17 05:01 | Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.117 | $14.13 |
| 12-17 04:52 | Will Jalen Suggs win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.095 | $11.12 |
| 12-17 04:45 | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.071 | $8.88 |
| 12-17 04:31 | Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.065 | $1.66 |
| 12-17 03:56 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.11 |
| 12-17 03:48 | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.064 | $8.00 |
| 12-17 03:29 | Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.85 |
| 12-17 03:27 | Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.12 | $14.50 |
| 12-17 03:17 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.19 |
| 12-17 03:10 | Infinex FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.028 | $4.08 |
| 12-17 03:08 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.043 | $1.09 |
| 12-17 03:00 | Will Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.47 |
| 12-17 02:48 | Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.85 |