PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ellieshooter

0x62257639889a39905b763ad9720bb575bad05eb6

Realised P&L
$-109.53
Volume
$475.6k
Markets traded
304
Open portfolio
$4.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded304
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-17 06:00Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.277$8.40
12-17 05:08Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.277$8.40
12-17 05:01Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.117$14.13
12-17 04:52Will Jalen Suggs win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?BUY0.095$11.12
12-17 04:45Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.071$8.88
12-17 04:31Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.065$1.66
12-17 03:56Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?BUY0.013$1.11
12-17 03:48Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.064$8.00
12-17 03:29Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.037$1.85
12-17 03:27Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.12$14.50
12-17 03:17Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?BUY0.014$1.19
12-17 03:10Infinex FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.028$4.08
12-17 03:08Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.043$1.09
12-17 03:00Will Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?BUY0.006$1.47
12-17 02:48Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.037$1.85
Trader ellieshooter · PolyBot