0x6220Afc4DeBd4d9eC3dca204f691FA686bd27286-1767088260641
0x6220afc4debd4d9ec3dca204f691fa686bd27286
- Realised P&L
- $-446.49
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $13.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · Yes | 0.406 | 0.063 | $13.75 | −$75.65 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$358.88 |
| Hawks vs. Raptors · Hawks | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.20 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? · No | 0.826 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.02at 0.330Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$11.20at 0.840Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 7?
- +$10.00at 0.900Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?
- +$8.50at 0.780Magic vs. Bulls
- +$7.80at 0.870Kings vs. Suns
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-06 06:31 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $36.00 |
| 01-29 05:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 01-11 14:24 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999987 | $95.00 |
| 01-05 16:20 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.91 | $109.20 |
| 01-04 02:26 | Hawks vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.27 | $16.20 |
| 01-03 03:21 | Kings vs. Suns | BUY | 0.87 | $52.20 |
| 01-03 03:19 | Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $47.95 |
| 01-03 03:17 | Will Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.973 | $9.73 |
| 01-03 03:13 | Magic vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 01-02 02:45 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $32.00 |
| 01-02 02:42 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 12-30 09:58 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $115.39 |