Beagletown
0x621f8712d650234773641f28541fea263fa39c10
- Realised P&L
- $339.32
- Volume
- $218.9k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.493 | 0.555 | $3.1k | +$344.14 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.00 |
| Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.38 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Fed rate hike in 2025? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.517Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
- +$1.8kat 0.100Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?
- +$1.2kat 0.793Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
- +$1.2kat 0.740Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
- +$1.1kat 0.908Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 11:19 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.0k |
| 08-21 19:22 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.2k |
| 08-21 19:17 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.47 | $306.08 |
| 07-14 20:55 | Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0645174214 | $14.70 |
| 06-29 14:39 | Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.1k |
| 06-29 14:02 | Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | BUY | 0.963 | $1.6k |
| 01-23 15:36 | Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $7m? | BUY | 0.47 | $30.60 |
| 01-21 13:44 | TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | BUY | 0.993 | $6.3k |
| 01-06 18:28 | Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr? | BUY | 0.74 | $186.52 |
| 01-05 16:09 | Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw? | SELL | 0.17 | $678.95 |
| 01-05 09:21 | Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech? | SELL | 0.86 | $3.0k |
| 01-05 08:42 | Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $751.00 |
| 01-04 09:33 | Starmer out before July? | BUY | 0.89 | $146.85 |
| 01-01 10:52 | Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.5k |
| 12-21 11:45 | Will there be a US Government shutdown? | BUY | 0.962 | $2.1k |