PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Beagletown

0x621f8712d650234773641f28541fea263fa39c10

Realised P&L
$339.32
Volume
$218.9k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.4930.555$3.1k+$344.14
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$38.00
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$110.38
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$90.00
Fed rate hike in 2025? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$120.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 11:19Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.52$1.0k
08-21 19:22Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.48$1.2k
08-21 19:17Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.47$306.08
07-14 20:55Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0645174214$14.70
06-29 14:39Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?BUY0.97$5.1k
06-29 14:02Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?BUY0.963$1.6k
01-23 15:36Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $7m?BUY0.47$30.60
01-21 13:44TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?BUY0.993$6.3k
01-06 18:28Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?BUY0.74$186.52
01-05 16:09Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?SELL0.17$678.95
01-05 09:21Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?SELL0.86$3.0k
01-05 08:42Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?BUY0.2$751.00
01-04 09:33Starmer out before July?BUY0.89$146.85
01-01 10:52Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?BUY0.85$1.5k
12-21 11:45Will there be a US Government shutdown? BUY0.962$2.1k