cxx5888
0x621e33837e7ae31500634b3e49402052067ea8c8
- Realised P&L
- $-293.79
- Volume
- $107.6k
- Markets traded
- 279
- Open portfolio
- $17.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded279
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.705 | $7.05 | +$1.15 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.345 | $6.90 | +$0.30 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.352 | $3.52 | −$0.88 |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.20 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September? · No | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? · No | 0.838 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$620.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$348.32at 0.030US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$200.00at 0.517US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$104.35at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
- +$89.43at 0.720Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
- +$84.62at 0.780No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 14:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-13 14:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 09-13 14:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $14.00 |
| 08-30 13:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 08-25 03:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | SELL | 0.35 | $5.92 |
| 08-10 12:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 07-23 13:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.736 | $7.36 |
| 07-01 13:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.97 |
| 06-30 13:55 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 06-30 13:50 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 06-23 13:01 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.63 | $25.20 |
| 06-22 15:00 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.699 | $20.97 |
| 06-22 15:00 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.699 | $69.90 |
| 06-22 14:59 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.698 | $69.80 |
| 06-22 14:58 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June? | SELL | 0.934 | $161.86 |