btc999888
0x6219671011620c8a334b67d7dd8e43148b1eaa6f
- Realised P&L
- $-42.1k
- Volume
- $3.70M
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $232.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? · Yes | 0.699 | 0.505 | $80.94 | −$31.06 |
| Will Solana reach $120 in September? · Yes | 0.816 | 0.861 | $77.06 | +$4.06 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.390 | $74.29 | −$45.71 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany | 0.528 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.709 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes | 0.275 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.1k |
| Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance · Brazil | 0.119 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway | 0.333 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Morocco leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$239.92 |
| Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$492.19 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.2kat 0.682Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance
- +$7.8kat 0.718Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5
- +$5.5kat 0.756Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5
- +$5.5kat 0.786Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$5.5kat 0.737Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 12:24 | Will Solana reach $120 in September? | BUY | 0.8229317019 | $40.00 |
| 09-23 12:24 | Will Solana reach $120 in September? | BUY | 0.8069999966 | $33.00 |
| 09-23 12:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.6989567799 | $67.00 |
| 09-23 12:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.6984478935 | $45.00 |
| 09-23 12:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $70.00 |
| 09-23 12:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 20:56 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9419548182 | $2.6k |
| 07-15 20:56 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.11 | $31.44 |
| 07-15 20:55 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.0975 | $0.27 |
| 07-15 20:54 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.0683082388 | $31.01 |
| 07-15 20:54 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.0625875444 | $46.47 |
| 07-15 20:53 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.0991276591 | $49.07 |
| 07-15 20:53 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.0907880542 | $59.92 |
| 07-15 20:49 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.7475 | $657.78 |
| 07-15 20:48 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.735 | $367.50 |