Cr3asY
0x62188255a1bc74839044f01d9434b8dceb116b20
- Realised P&L
- $-0.54
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $73.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.019 | $73.99 | −$284.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.70at 0.810US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
- +$0.66at 0.252Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
- +$0.20at 0.972US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
- +$-0.29at 0.037Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$-0.87at 0.283Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 14:30 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.094 | $18.41 |
| 05-05 14:29 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.092991425 | $111.59 |
| 05-04 15:33 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.0949988894 | $85.54 |
| 05-04 15:31 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.094 | $14.15 |
| 04-28 19:03 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $74.97 |
| 04-28 19:03 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.088 | $38.50 |
| 04-28 19:03 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.087 | $15.40 |
| 02-19 08:19 | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $7.25 |
| 02-17 09:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $0.10 |
| 02-17 09:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.28 | $0.95 |
| 02-17 09:50 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.94 |
| 02-16 21:25 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.20 |
| 02-16 20:06 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.036 | $1.26 |
| 02-16 20:06 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.29 |
| 02-16 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $1.89 |