0x620ee022be1e07d700e4aa86ef0f190642222c1f
0x620ee022be1e07d700e4aa86ef0f190642222c1f
- Realised P&L
- $-39.86
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $32.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes | 0.775 | 0.790 | $32.72 | +$0.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.87at 0.680US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.06at 0.785US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
- +$0.64at 0.579US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
- +$0.53at 0.875US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
- +$-2.11at 0.896US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:26 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.775171772 | $32.11 |
| 09-29 12:03 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9649999947 | $31.90 |
| 09-29 12:01 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.59 | $32.86 |
| 09-28 13:37 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.5617417261 | $31.29 |
| 09-28 13:36 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9438474378 | $32.23 |
| 09-24 11:22 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.92999999 | $31.76 |
| 09-24 09:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $32.71 |
| 09-23 11:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999983 | $32.71 |
| 09-23 09:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $33.69 |
| 09-22 11:45 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999978 | $31.49 |
| 09-22 04:01 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.89 | $32.44 |
| 09-21 11:08 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $30.99 |
| 09-21 06:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $31.92 |
| 09-18 08:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9043618325 | $32.08 |
| 09-18 08:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $33.04 |