PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dmwarner

0x62073399487c141ef1930ff65f8c0f264bd65259

Realised P&L
$-6.1k
Volume
$2.13M
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$8.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration89.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)21.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-24 19:36Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$1.2k
03-27 23:19Will Walmart acquire TikTok?SELL0.1063653751$49.33
03-27 23:19Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.006$428.57
03-27 23:19Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.008$697.46
03-27 23:18Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0238112807$2.9k
03-27 23:15Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.037$412.97
03-27 23:15Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.0359042215$933.51
01-24 19:27Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.007$500.00
01-24 19:23Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0080291571$700.00
01-24 19:22Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0316599505$400.00
01-24 19:21Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.05$1.0k
01-24 19:21Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0716765845$800.00
01-24 19:18Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.009$9.64
01-24 19:16Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 19-25?SELL0.001$4.22
01-24 19:08Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.036$15.33