dmwarner
0x62073399487c141ef1930ff65f8c0f264bd65259
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $2.13M
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $8.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$424.37at 0.042Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
- +$29.33at 0.043Will Walmart acquire TikTok?
- +$20.00at 0.005Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-2.50at 0.008Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-2.53at 0.008Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 19:36 | Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.2k |
| 03-27 23:19 | Will Walmart acquire TikTok? | SELL | 0.1063653751 | $49.33 |
| 03-27 23:19 | Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $428.57 |
| 03-27 23:19 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $697.46 |
| 03-27 23:18 | Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0238112807 | $2.9k |
| 03-27 23:15 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.037 | $412.97 |
| 03-27 23:15 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0359042215 | $933.51 |
| 01-24 19:27 | Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $500.00 |
| 01-24 19:23 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0080291571 | $700.00 |
| 01-24 19:22 | Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0316599505 | $400.00 |
| 01-24 19:21 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.0k |
| 01-24 19:21 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0716765845 | $800.00 |
| 01-24 19:18 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.009 | $9.64 |
| 01-24 19:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 19-25? | SELL | 0.001 | $4.22 |
| 01-24 19:08 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.036 | $15.33 |