0x62003F6B19108f973b96a5fb7C7CA4C5FF3dDFA6-1780583793212
0x62003f6b19108f973b96a5fb7c7ca4c5ff3ddfa6
- Realised P&L
- $-156.30
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $2.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.11at 0.198Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 27?
- +$21.11at 0.198Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 4?
- +$18.61at 0.218Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?
- +$17.76at 0.226Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 2?
- +$10.96at 0.321Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.50 |
| 09-30 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.50 |
| 09-30 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.36 |
| 09-30 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.50 |
| 09-30 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.50 |
| 09-30 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 09-29 13:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.1926287402 | $1.50 |
| 09-29 09:23 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.50 |
| 09-28 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 29? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.00 |
| 09-28 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.50 |
| 09-28 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.50 |
| 09-28 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.50 |
| 09-27 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.50 |
| 09-27 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.50 |
| 09-27 10:42 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.50 |