Emmanuel-Macron
0x61fe126c780df4bf0c281be8c8a2a05007fe94c1
- Realised P&L
- $0.14
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $46.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.021 | $45.67 | −$26.04 |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.040 | $0.79 | −$1.65 |
| Will Olivier Faure win the first round of the French Socialist primary? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary? · No | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.33at 0.061Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 20:05 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.058 | $10.11 |
| 10-01 19:11 | Will Olivier Faure win the first round of the French Socialist primary? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 10-01 19:10 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 10-01 18:53 | Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.122 | $2.44 |
| 10-01 18:27 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.057 | $15.96 |
| 10-01 18:19 | Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.78 |
| 09-29 12:36 | Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | BUY | 0.0589999984 | $2.00 |
| 03-25 22:41 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0299999986 | $20.00 |
| 03-25 22:37 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $50.00 |