PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Emmanuel-Macron

0x61fe126c780df4bf0c281be8c8a2a05007fe94c1

Realised P&L
$0.14
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$46.46

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0320.021$45.67−$26.04
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1220.040$0.79−$1.65
Will Olivier Faure win the first round of the French Socialist primary? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$3.50
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary? · No0.0900.000$0.00−$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 20:05Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.058$10.11
10-01 19:11Will Olivier Faure win the first round of the French Socialist primary?BUY0.07$3.50
10-01 19:10Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?BUY0.09$1.80
10-01 18:53Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?BUY0.122$2.44
10-01 18:27Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.057$15.96
10-01 18:19Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?SELL0.023$0.78
09-29 12:36Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?BUY0.0589999984$2.00
03-25 22:41Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0299999986$20.00
03-25 22:37Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0299999994$50.00