jonej
0x61f7388848e3effe8b4f632b5d43f0c7ad09f8de
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $210.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,419
- Open portfolio
- $162.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,419
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$262.16at 0.027Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?
- +$133.94at 0.107Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 8?
- +$120.93at 0.117Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?
- +$115.09at 0.144Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 17?
- +$113.25at 0.846Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on May 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.034 | $3.68 |
| 09-20 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7 | $13.99 |
| 09-20 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.98 |
| 09-20 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.163 | $2.73 |
| 09-20 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.129 | $4.59 |
| 09-20 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 09-20 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 09-20 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0295151515 | $0.97 |
| 09-20 03:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.019556369 | $2.67 |
| 09-20 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1471428571 | $4.12 |
| 09-20 01:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 09-20 01:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2166666667 | $6.50 |
| 09-20 01:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.35 |
| 09-20 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0275033675 | $3.76 |
| 09-19 14:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1620833333 | $3.89 |