PolyBot

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Traders

jonej

0x61f7388848e3effe8b4f632b5d43f0c7ad09f8de

Realised P&L
$3.2k
Volume
$210.6k
Markets traded
2,419
Open portfolio
$162.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,419
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? · Yes0.2100.960$61.15+$47.79
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? · Yes0.5000.720$28.79+$8.80
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · No0.7050.655$26.20$2.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18? · Yes0.5800.997$19.94+$8.34
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? · Yes0.1390.284$10.78+$5.52
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 20? · Yes0.1130.035$4.14$9.21
Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes0.0400.036$3.65$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 20? · Yes0.0340.028$3.03$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? · Yes0.1590.035$2.45$8.65
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 20? · Yes0.1290.025$0.67$2.77
Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes0.0060.004$0.40$0.20
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1400.071$0.35$0.34
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0950.028$0.28$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.005$0.27$0.72
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 20? · Yes0.1120.004$0.23$6.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 06:43Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.034$3.68
09-20 06:35Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.7$13.99
09-20 06:32Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?SELL0.35$0.98
09-20 05:28Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.163$2.73
09-20 05:24Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.129$4.59
09-20 04:10Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?SELL0.001$0.03
09-20 04:02Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.35$1.75
09-20 03:22Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 20?BUY0.0295151515$0.97
09-20 03:07Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 20?SELL0.019556369$2.67
09-20 02:05Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.1471428571$4.12
09-20 01:57Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.24$2.40
09-20 01:53Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.2166666667$6.50
09-20 01:49Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.2$3.35
09-20 00:44Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 20?BUY0.0275033675$3.76
09-19 14:58Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.1620833333$3.89