PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

risknot3

0x61f276c0d8cadb271f63c5625d964dc4ad4be2ae

Realised P&L
$1.04
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$78.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dominance be greater than 62.00% on October 16? · Yes0.0140.400$5.46+$5.28
Will Bitcoin dominance be less than 58.00% on October 16? · Yes0.0140.400$5.46+$5.27
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-08 House election by 15%-25%? · Yes0.0200.381$4.11+$3.90
Will Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC end in a draw? · Yes0.0300.410$4.10+$3.80
Will Fox get the U.S. English-language rights to broadcast the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.133$3.94+$3.77
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-08 House election? · Yes0.0200.358$3.87+$3.65
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-08 House election by 40%-45%? · Yes0.0200.357$3.86+$3.64
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-08 House election by 0%-15%? · Yes0.0200.341$3.68+$3.46
Will Nõmme Kalju finish 8th in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)? · Yes0.0200.447$3.50+$3.34
Will FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.0660.260$2.62+$1.95
Will FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw? · Yes0.0300.290$2.57+$2.30
Will there be exactly 1 Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of October 5? · Yes0.0100.063$2.52+$2.12
Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 5? · Yes0.0200.340$2.41+$2.27
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-08 House election by 5% or more? · Yes0.0100.376$1.88+$1.83
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.0040.046$1.85+$1.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 11:23Will Democrats win Latino voters in the Texas Senate election?SELL0.02$0.91