risknot3
0x61f276c0d8cadb271f63c5625d964dc4ad4be2ae
- Realised P&L
- $1.04
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $78.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.60at 0.003Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?
- +$1.38at 0.010Will Asteras Tripolis vs. Atromitos Athinon end in a draw?
- +$1.38at 0.019Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-10-10?
- +$1.13at 0.012Will Republicans win the Texas and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Michigan?
- +$0.80at 0.030Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 30% or more?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 11:23 | Will Democrats win Latino voters in the Texas Senate election? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.91 |